premium Tier Analysis

Audit Your 'Safe Withdrawal Rate'

Calculating your True SWR by subtracting NAV erosion from yield.

DivAgent Research Team
2026-01-03
5 min read

Key Takeaways

  • The Formula: True Yield = Distribution Rate - Annual NAV Erosion.
  • The Trap: If you spend the full distribution of an eroding fund, you are liquidating your principal without realizing it.
  • The Fix: You must reinvest the 'Erosion Portion' back into the fund just to stay flat.
  • Example: QYLD yielded 12% but eroded significantly. Spending 12% was financial suicide.

The "Return of Capital" Illusion

Funds like YieldMax or Global X often pay out Return of Capital (ROC). Sometimes this is constructive (tax deferral), but often it is destructive (giving you your money back).

If a fund starts at $20 and ends the year at $18, it lost 10% of its value. If it paid you 12% in dividends, your Total Return is only 2%.
You can only safely spend 2%.

How to Audit Your Portfolio

The 3-Step Check

  1. Check NAV History: Look at the 1-year chart (Price only, no dividends). Is it down? By how much? (e.g., -5%).
  2. Check Yield: What is the TTM Yield? (e.g., 12%).
  3. Subtract: 12% - 5% = 7% Safe Yield.

*If you spend more than 7%, you are eating the seed corn.

Conclusion

Don't trust the yield percentage on your brokerage app. Trust the Total Return. Use our NAV Erosion Calculator to find the truth.

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